Newcomb’s problem isn’t a choice dilemma

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Newcomb’s problem involves a decision-maker faced with choice and predictor forecasting this choice. The agents’ interaction seems to generate dilemma once the seeks apply two basic principles of rational theory (RCT): maximize expected utility (MEU); adopt dominant strategy (ADS). We review unsuccessful attempts at pacifying by excluding as an RCT-application, restricting MEU ADS, allowing for backward causation. A probability approach shows that original problem-formulation lacks causal information. This makes it impossible specify structure univocally. Once missing information is added, RCT re-align, thus explaining seeming dilemma. Building on Wolpert Benford (Synthese 190(9):1637–1646, 2013), we supply additional details offer crucial correction their formal proof.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Synthese

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0039-7857', '1573-0964']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-020-03018-y